A few days back, I heard someone proudly
count the number of Multinational Enterprises that have either
expressed interest in or actively established business operations in
Kenya.
In my view, this is a far more accurate
predictor of Kenya’s development compared to immediate assessments based
a year’s growth.
For Kenya, part of the reasons that
the economy remains small, erratic, moderate and insufficiently
diversified is because of the absence of critical number of firms with
transnational operations.
Government policies such as
the private Sector Development Strategy (2006-2010) also explicitly
expressed preference for developing indigenous enterprises ostensibly to
ensure local ownership and participation in the economy.
INTENSIFY COMPETITION
Yet
Kenya needs multinational enterprises not only because they would add
to the stock of investments in the economy but mainly because they would
intensify competition between firms based in Kenya.
The
degree of economic competition in Kenya’s main industries starting with
telecommunications, airline transportation, banking, retail trade, and
even utilities provision is appallingly low.
Competition
is without doubt good for consumers because it would exert pressure on
the dominant firms in these areas and facilitate more competitive prices
for goods and services.
One indicator of the absence
of competition in the leading sectors is an avalanche of profits for all
firms against the most pathetic service and poor quality of some goods.
It is not possible than many indigenous firms could add market pressure
against Kenya’s leading firms with the exception of multinational
enterprises.
Occasionally, multinational enterprises
face prejudice on account of their foreign origins. Given the vast
resources that they have and their success in working across various
countries, their absence in any country is itself a manifestation of a
poor business and regulatory environment.
BETTER SERVICES
Objective
assessment of the record of trans-national enterprises shows that they
often offer far better terms of service to their employees as compared
to local enterprises that are protected from competition because of
political links that allow for manipulation of policy.
In
this respect, the attraction of multinational enterprises is
advantageous because they provide good employment to a sizeable number
of people.
Looking at Kenya’s vast population of
unemployed people, these firms are a far better prospect than either
informal sector employment or small-scale businesses that die in large
numbers. Thus attraction of these firms is a good part of the broader
employment policy.
A known feature of multinational
enterprises is that they are particularly adept at introducing new
technology and management systems. Added to these is that these firms
are also most likely to pay for proper research to support new products
or services.
Private sector research activities are
desperately required in Kenya and the new multinational enterprises
would add to related research activities. Growth in total investments in
research and design activities is a public good and even if undertaken
entirely within a firm, that knowledge will soon be engendered in its
products to the benefit of many more people.
FORMAL AND INFORMAL SECTORS
One
of the paradoxes of Kenya’s economic structure is the existence of a
large service sector comprised of both informal and formal sector
activities with low total productivity of labour. Compared to most of
the region, the cluster of professional services firms in Kenya is large
but also comprise oligopolies and dense informal and undiversified
networks.
Entry of competitors would open up the
business services and expand the range of services while contributing to
greater specialisation across the industry.
This
would open up the professional services industry by creating diversity
of firms and allow for the emergence of new firms and services. In the
process, it is possible that some firms that subsist on public sector
contracts may have to expand their range of services or be wiped out
altogether.
REDUCE DIFFERENCES
Finally,
the infusion of multinational enterprises in Kenya would accelerate the
reduction of the deep nexus between Kenya’s largest firms and politics.
Looking at the composition of the management and
boards of most of Kenya’s largest firms reveals the preference for
individuals with backward linkage to the public sector or outright
connection to politics through family affiliation.
This
is a problem because these connections probably undermine transparency
in the policy processes and determine outcomes that favour not the
entire industry but specific firms.
Since the
government should not dictate to private firms about inclusion, it is
just possible that multinational enterprises would show greater
inclination to more diversity within their firms.
The
composition of the major firms in Kenya and the degree of interlocking
directorships represents a very stable equilibrium that incumbent firms
are unwilling to depart from.
An unintended
consequence of market driven multinational enterprises firms could
accomplish diversity and transformation without direct intervention by
the public
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